Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000718 0.000820 0.000929 0.001053 0.001189 0.001334 0.001499
2025-04-06 0.000551 0.000692 0.000851 0.001044 0.001270 0.001524 0.001830
2025-04-13 0.000455 0.000609 0.000792 0.001024 0.001305 0.001633 0.002041
2025-04-20 0.000402 0.000569 0.000776 0.001047 0.001387 0.001795 0.002314
2025-04-27 0.000357 0.000533 0.000758 0.001062 0.001454 0.001935 0.002561
2025-05-04 0.000311 0.000487 0.000723 0.001050 0.001483 0.002026 0.002748
2025-05-11 0.000269 0.000444 0.000685 0.001030 0.001498 0.002097 0.002908
2025-05-18 0.000245 0.000422 0.000674 0.001044 0.001555 0.002222 0.003138
2025-05-25 0.000221 0.000398 0.000657 0.001046 0.001596 0.002325 0.003341
2025-06-01 0.000190 0.000361 0.000618 0.001014 0.001587 0.002360 0.003453
2025-06-08 0.000165 0.000328 0.000582 0.000985 0.001578 0.002393 0.003561
2025-06-15 0.000148 0.000308 0.000566 0.000982 0.001607 0.002476 0.003738
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.000291 0.000551 0.000981 0.001638 0.002566 0.003929
2025-06-29 0.000119 0.000271 0.000531 0.000971 0.001656 0.002636 0.004093
2025-07-06 0.000104 0.000250 0.000507 0.000953 0.001659 0.002684 0.004227
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000244 0.000508 0.000974 0.001723 0.002822 0.004489
2025-07-20 0.000091 0.000236 0.000505 0.000988 0.001775 0.002943 0.004729
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000221 0.000487 0.000977 0.001787 0.003004 0.004884
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000204 0.000466 0.000958 0.001786 0.003045 0.005010
2025-08-10 0.000066 0.000198 0.000464 0.000971 0.001836 0.003163 0.005251
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.000189 0.000456 0.000974 0.001868 0.003255 0.005454
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000172 0.000430 0.000944 0.001846 0.003262 0.005530
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000157 0.000407 0.000915 0.001825 0.003270 0.005607